Blog Entry

Lucky Losers: Take Two

Posted on: September 20, 2011 11:10 am
Edited on: September 20, 2011 3:16 pm
Two games into the season, and the field is starting to firm up for Andrew Luck, the first pick in next year's draft. Kansas City and Indianapolis appear to be the real deals, and it's not a stretch to imagine their Oct. 9 date in Indianapolis as the Andrew Luck Bowl, with the Lucky Loser taking a giant step toward the Stanford quarterback. But that's three weeks away. In the meantime, let's take a look at the early frontrunners:

5. Miami. Bad news, Miami fans. Your team goes on the road where, yes, it can win. Miami needs Andrew Luck like Texas needs rain, so a win complicates the future. Honestly, there's no way the Dolphins stay here long, but losing 11 of your last 12 home games qualifies for some list, and, congratulations, Tony Sparano, you just made it here. The Dolphins were supposed to have so many answers on defense they could overcome the shortcomings of the other half of the football team. Not so fast. In two games they rank dead last in overall defense and 30th against the pass.   Granted, they had to defend Tom Brady and Matt Schaub, but didn't someone tell us this was the best tandem of cornerbacks in the business? Yeah, sure, and Darrelle Revis is overhyped.

Next loss:
at Cleveland. This one's iffy. Cleveland hasn't won a home opener since 2004, and the Dolphins last year won their first four road games. In fact, they won six of eight there. Uh-oh.

4. Minnesota.  
I'll tell you why Christian Ponder looks so good to Minnesota fans: Because he hasn't thrown a pass. OK, so he's not Donovan McNabb, either. McNabb has taken a raft of grief for the Vikings' problems, but cut the guy slack. He's not the one who couldn't protect second-half leads. He just couldn't pad them. So fans want a change, and patience, people. Give the guy time, and I'm talking about McNabb AND Ponder. One's not ready to leave, and the other's not ready to stay. In the meantime, keep featuring Adrian Peterson, and you have a chance ... a chance ... to check out of the Lucky Hotel.

Next loss:
Detroit. The Lions have Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson. The Vikings have the 23rd-ranked pass defense. What do you think happens?

3. Seattle.
People keep telling me the Seahawks aren't as bad as they seem and that they'll steady themselves once they get home to the 12th Man, which is this weekend. But then I look at who's taking the snaps, and, I'm sorry, but the Seahawks could play with 12, 13 or 14 men and it wouldn't matter. Not when Tarvaris Jackson is your quarterback, and Marshawn Lynch and Justin Forsett carry the football. The result's going to be the same, and that's not good. Seattle ranks last in offense, can't run, can't pass, can't block and has Sidney Rice and Robert Gallery -- two of its biggest offseason acquisitions -- sidelined indefinitely. You want to know the straightest road south? You just found it.
Next loss:
Arizona. The Cardinals fixed the quarterback position. Seattle did not. Seeing is believing, and here's where you can tell.

2. Indianapolis.
The more I watch the Colts the more I think Peyton Manning is the NFL's most underpaid quarterback. He makes all the difference in Indianapolis, and when he's gone so is hope for this football team.  I don't fault Kerry Collins for the Colts' bellyflop. The poor guy was thrown into an impossible situation. These aren't the 2008 Tennessee Titans. The Colts are built around the quarterback, and that quarterback is Peyton Manning, not Collins. One local columnist already is calling for the team to hire Brett Favre, to which I say, "Huh?" Bad enough to stink. But now you want the circus to come to town? Brett Favre isn't going to fix this. Nobody but Peyton Manning is going to fix this, and my suggestion is that once the ship starts to list, don't wait on Favre or Manning. Give the ball instead to ... you guessed it ... Curtis Painter. If you're going down, sink to the bottom with young players, not old ones. 

Next loss:
Pittsburgh. You saw what happened to Seattle. Get ready for more of the same, Warren Sapp. Let's see ... Ben Roethlisberger or Kerry Collins? Check, please.

1. Kansas City. 
The Chiefs lost tight end Tony Moeaki for the season. They lost safety Eric Berry for the season. They lost star running back Jamaal Charles for the season. You know it's grim when you lose more starters than ballgames. But give these guys time. They're going to lose a lot of ballgames, too. In two games they've been outscored 99-10, and, yes, that's a sign of how bad it is at Arrowhead. So what happened? Well, look beyond the injuries to turnovers. The Chiefs have a zillion of them. In fact, through two games they have nine. Nobody has more. In 2010, they had 14. Only one club (New England) had fewer. At the rate they're going they'll set an NFL record with 72, and we all know that won't happen. But neither will winning. These guys soared to the top of the AFC West last year with an error-free quarterback, the league's best rushing attack and an efficient and effective offense. Now, Matt Cassel has as many interceptions (4) through two games as he had through 12 a year ago, the top running back is gone and nobody can hold on to the football. Paint it black.

Next loss: 
at San Diego. The last time the Chiefs went there they lost 31-0. Of course, that was without Cassel. Now they're without Charles ... and Berry ... and Moeaki ... and hope.

Category: NFL
Since: Oct 31, 2006
Posted on: September 21, 2011 11:50 am
This comment has been removed.

Post Deleted by Administrator

Since: Mar 25, 2009
Posted on: September 21, 2011 9:30 am

Lucky Losers: Take Two

this season is actually working out pretty well for the cheifs if you are looking at it as a building process, we all knew coming in that this team is probably a good franchise passer away from becoming a serious threat for many years to come, cassel just doesnt have the vertical game that most qbs' in the nfl need to be successful, sure cassel is a very serviceable qb, but without a standout defense he wont be winning any superbowls, they have built up their defense through the past several years in free agency and the draft with players like brandon flowers and derrick johnson, and they have several future studs on the offensive side with dwayne bowe, jammal charles and dexter mccluster in the slot, moeaki is a good young tight end as well, if this team could tank this season and end up with andrew luck in the end, it would be the best thing to happen to this franchise in years, probably ever, with luck they would be right at the top every season with san diego

Since: Oct 1, 2010
Posted on: September 21, 2011 4:11 am

You Made a Mistake on KC Point Differential

"In two games they've been outscored 99-10"
It was 89-10, not 99-10. Getting hit with 99 points in two games would have been quite incredible.

Since: Jun 13, 2007
Posted on: September 21, 2011 2:31 am

Lucky Losers: Take Two

If the Fish lose to the Browns, they have a good (or bad, depending on one's point of view) look at 0-16.  They will probably get swept in their division (0-6) and swept by the NFC East ( down to 0-10).  They have already lost to the Texans (0-11).  The rest of their schedule is against the AFC West, so their only chance to avoid the dubious distinction of a winless season is to beat the (Chieves?) Chiefs.   A loss to the Browns (0-12) will drive the team into the tank and put the team in Operation Shutdown.  Tony Sparano will be a dead man walking.  Result: The Dolphins win the Andrew Luck sweepstakes, they will get a new coaching staff and front office and the Joe will be filled again.  Yippee!

Since: Jan 10, 2007
Posted on: September 21, 2011 12:38 am

Lucky Losers: Take Two

With all this hype I'm sure he's just going to end up disappointing.

Since: Oct 2, 2007
Posted on: September 20, 2011 9:03 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Two

wow there is a ton of very poor "judgements" in this thread. First off we all know Clark Judge is about as sound a writer as a wet paper bag is at holding anything. He was wrong about Clevelands home opener and the 99-10 scoring of KC vs their opponents, he is simply an internet sports blogger, essentially a glorified opinion columnist but hey, who wouldnt want to have his job, leave him be.

As for everyone else, Ill try to take this one step at a time...

Pride doesnt win you games and just because the Colts have had some pro bowlers over the years doesnt mean that theyre not a team thats upside down right now. A teams defense that is undersized made to play with a lead, made to play it safe and play a defense most of the NFL has now learned how to beat. It doesnt mean their O line isnt either way too old or just not good. It doesnt mean their running backs are pitiful and Manning made Garcon and Collie out of nothing. This team is currently Reggie Wayne, Dallas Clark and the third best player is Kerry Collins if for no other reason then because hes been around, seen it all and he will remain poised, figure it out and they may squeak out 4 wins because theyre in a weak conference and a weaker division.

Andrew Luck will be 23 week one of next season meaning if you sit him 3-4 years hes coming in at 27 years old for his first time as the leader of this team. Luck is praised for his "ready now" ability, though sitting helps everyone he wouldnt be worth a top pick to sit for 4 years and start his career taking maybe a year or two to blossom and then only having maybe 4-5 years of being truly worth the pick and investment. Then the whole time you have to ask yourself what happens if Peyton has more then 3-4 years, even if its one more year you now have the same conundrum the Packers experienced with Favre and thats the last thing you want.

"If Indy gets to draft Luck, he will be the next Peyton Manning. Peyton will make sure of it"

that makes no sense, Painter has been working behind Manning for how long and hes nothing special at all. The Colts are better off riding out Manning and trading for a servicable back up to buy them a year or two when Peyton finally calls it quits, they can develop him on the bench for a minute then throw him to the wolves like they did with Peyton.

Jacksonville just drafted the supposed most NFL ready QB high in this last years draft, dont think they will be doing it again next year, plus theyre 1-1 and both Miami and Minnesota are 0-2 thats why they didnt make the list. Like Judge said, he doesnt imagine Miami being on the list for long but for now, based on the first two weeks and nothing more, they are. 

Since: Dec 16, 2009
Posted on: September 20, 2011 8:42 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Two

Jacksonville is not on the list because they just drafted a QB in the first round.  Why would they draft a 2nd QB when 3/4s of the team is terrible.  For a franchise that can barely avoid network blackouts the worse thing they could do is spend money they already hate spending on another QB and not fix the rest of the team before they run Drew into the ground like they did Fred Taylor...

Since: Jan 17, 2010
Posted on: September 20, 2011 8:13 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Two

I'll go off the chart and go with Jacksonvile, Luke McNown (or whatever) are you kidding!? why this Idiot puts Minnesota and Miami on this list I have no Idea.

Since: Mar 27, 2009
Posted on: September 20, 2011 7:59 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Two

Wow, I could have sworn the Browns had their home opener on Sept. 11th against the Bengals.  I guess I must have been dreaming according to Judge's paragraph about Miami.  You might want to check the teams schedule before making a comment like "Next Loss: At Cleveland. This one's iffy. Cleveland hasn't won a home opener since 2004,....."  Pick it up Judge!!

Since: Jul 3, 2007
Posted on: September 20, 2011 7:05 pm

Lucky Losers: Take Two

Andrew Luck isnt Michael Vick, the next Manning or Lebron James
If Indy gets to draft Luck, he will be the next Peyton Manning. Peyton will make sure of it

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